The Temporary Eurobill Fund offers a modest, technical but concrete step that can be expanded progressively into a financial, economic and political structure if circumstances develop propitiously. This author has developed the TEF plan over several years – now comprehensively updated.
Version 1.1
1.What is the TEF Plan?
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The Objectives:
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Re-enforce financial stability.
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Provide: a “safe asset” for banks to reduce the `doom loop’ with their government; a “Risk Free Rate” yield curve to support CMU; a simple savings vehicle for citizens.
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Build trust amongst states, institutions and citizens to assist a European demos.
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The Principles:for progress in deepening EMU are clear and include:
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No mutualisation of debts.
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Strengthen the post-crisis economic governance system.
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A proper role for market discipline.
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Financial solidarity with states that respect the rules yet lose market access.
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The Mechanics: TEF is a simple “plainest of plain vanilla” plan:
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For a common institution created by participating Eurozone states to purchase the under-two year debt issuance of those states.
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The institution would finance such purchases by issuing its own bills - matching its assets in overall volume and maturity. “Back to Back” market finance for absolute simplicity and transparency.
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The TEF is a replacement of existing debt, rather than a mechanism to increase debt.
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Why two years? Nothing magical… (i) Seems long enough to give a state in difficulties time to realise and begin to change before markets cut off access (ii) enough issuance to become a major market sector with undoubted liquidity.
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The TEF will charge all borrowers an identical interest rate for a given maturity.
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The TEF’s legal structure would replicate the tried and tested ESM Treaty. It would not require a change to EU Treaties so could be set up very quickly.
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Governance is inter-governmental – not Communautaire at this stage.
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If it did not prove effective, then it would cease to issue new bills and most of its bills would have run off within a year, and completely within two years.
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© Graham Bishop
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