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26 May 2015

VoxEU:ギリシャがユーロ利用と並行した自国通貨発行でデフォルト回避することも現実的な選択肢に


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To prevent it from defaulting, the Greek government might need to introduce a new domestic currency, in parallel to the euro. This two-part series discuss how such a policy instrument could promote economic recovery, and evaluate its effects on aggregate demand and fiscal sustainability.


Greece at a critical crossroad

Absent a deal with creditors, very soon, short of cash, the Greek government might default on its debt. To prevent this from happening, and to avoid taking new extra doses of useless and painful austerity, Athens could be bound to resort to the introduction of some kind of new domestic currency – in parallel to the euro – for the government to be able to make payments to public employees and pensioners while freeing up the euros needed to pay out its creditors. The ECB has not denied this possibility. Recently, ECB sources have unofficially discussed the issue with the media in some detail (albeit anonymously), and executive board member Yves Mersch has referred to a parallel currency for Greece as one of “the exceptional tools that any government can consider if it has no other options,” noting that all these tools bear high costs.

Is this really so? Is it really the case that a parallel currency would be worse than the current medicine Greece is taking (and is set to be taking for an indefinite future)?

A parallel currency per se would neither prevent the risk of Greece’s disorderly default nor automatically help it out of depression. But not all parallel currencies are born equal, and there are various ways to design a parallel currency, each bearing significantly different implications.    

Full article on VoxEU (part I)

Full article on VoxEU (part II)

CEPS brief "A parallel currency for Greece"



© VoxEU.org


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