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19 July 2019

House of Commons: A ‘No deal’ Brexit would be the most economically damaging outcome for UK business

The Committee on Exiting the EU warns that a ‘no deal’ Brexit would lead to severe disruption, pose a fundamental risk to the competitiveness of key sectors of the UK’s economy and put many jobs and livelihoods at risk.

'No-deal' is the least desirable option for the UK

The Government’s own economic assessment shows that a ‘no deal’ exit from the EU would be the most economically damaging outcome for the UK. The effect would be most severe in the North East and the West Midlands, and the chemical, retail, food and drink and manufacturing sectors would be hardest hit.

The Committee finds that without a deal the UK could not rely on Article XXIV of the GATT to maintain current tariff-free trade arrangements with the EU. If the UK were to leave the EU without a deal, the European Commission has said the UK will become a third country without any transitional arrangements.

The Committee also concludes that a non-cooperative ‘no deal’ cannot be the desired end state for UK-EU economic relations.

The Committee’s latest report examines the implications of leaving the EU without an Article 50 Withdrawal Agreement - a ‘no deal’ exit - on different sectors of the UK’s economy: services, automotive and manufacturing, food and farming, chemicals and pharmaceuticals and research and higher education.

Full report: The consequences of “No Deal” for UK business

© House of Commons

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