Equity markets increased slightly over the course of the 3rd quarter 2018, however market nervousness and sensitivity are rising, as evidenced by the global equity market sell-off at the beginning of October. The budget plans of Italy have led to sovereign bond market volatility remaining at a high level, and generally high market valuations coupled with market uncertainty contribute to very high market risk.
Going forward, ESMA sees concerns over a potential no-deal Brexit increasingly weighing on economic and market expectations. Risks to business operations from Brexit as well as from cyber threats continue to be a major concern, leading operational risk to remain elevated with a negative outlook.
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