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02 October 2026

Electoral Calculus: Current Prediction for Geneeral Election: Labour short 13 of majority

Commentary for end-September 2026

Labour continues to benefit from the Burnham Bounce, as they gain about 1pc, and Reform loses 1pc, over September.

Labour would be just short of an overall majority, but could have a very workable coalition with the Liberal Democrats.

 

These figures...

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