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05 May 2014

Commission's spring 2014 forecast: Growth becoming broader-based


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The European Union reckons Europe’s economic recovery will get deeper and broader through 2015, reaching even its most vulnerable countries, but warned that very low inflation and tensions with Russia could yet upset the economic apple cart.


The European Commission's spring forecast points to a continuing economic recovery in the European Union following its emergence from recession one year ago. Real GDP growth is set to reach 1.6 per cent in the EU and 1.2 per cent in the euro area in 2014, and to improve further in 2015 to 2.0 per cent and 1.7 per cent respectively. The forecast rests on the assumption that the agreed policy measures will be implemented by Member States and the EU, taking forward the necessary adjustment.

Siim Kallas, Commission Vice-President said: "The recovery has now taken hold. Deficits have declined, investment is rebounding and, importantly, the employment situation has started improving. Continued reform efforts by Member States and the EU itself are paying off. This ongoing structural change reminds me of the profound adjustment that the central and eastern European economies undertook in the 1990s and in subsequent years, linked to their joining the EU exactly 10 years ago. Their experience shows how important it is to embrace structural reforms early on and to stay the course, whatever challenges may be faced along the way. In this spirit, we must not lessen our efforts to create more jobs for Europeans and strengthen growth potential."

Full press release

Overview

Further information and country forecasts

Further reporting by WSJ (subscription)



© European Commission


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